Sunday 27 January 2013

What constitutes a good season for the O's.

Supporting Leyton Orient is generally a chore that costs a bit of a whack and takes up more time than you'd like. Sort of like going to the dentist every week. The bad times outweigh the good and we're always having to fight over something. If we're not fighting to stay in the league, we're fighting to keep our players. If we're not fighting other teams with bigger budgets, we're fighting for our lives about the Olympic Stadium legacy. It's ultimately a perennial struggle.


With all that in mind what would the average O's fan believe would be a good season?

How we finished last season should give us a good indication. We finished one place and 7 points ahead of relegated Wycombe Wanderers.

Yep, that seems quite a comfortable gap, but truth be told, it was a long slog to get to that point and we'll be thankful to the Messy Irish, sorry the Irish Messi (Alan Judge of Notts County), for finally putting the nail in Wycombe's coffin with a very-late screamer at Adams Park in the penultimate game of the season.

On the last day of the season O's spanked already relegated Rochdale 2-1 in a non-event and Wycombe lost two-nil away to Sheffield Wednesday in another dead-rubber of a game. The league looked easy on the eye but the reality was a different story.

The 2011/12 season was meant to be the dawn of a new era. Slade was comfortably in situ and the previous season (2010/11) we'd finished 7th and narrowly missed out on a play-off position by two points (or one and an inferior GD). We'd had a tremendous FA Cup run winning away at (soon to be Premiership bound) Norwich and Swansea,  we also drew at home to Arsenal before getting knocked out to a Chamakh hat-trick at the Emirates. Throw in the 8-2 victory over Droylsden, Dave Pace getting all animated, plenty of TV matches and some sublime football and you almost forgot it was Orient. Chuck in 3 players from up the road going by the names of M'Poku, Carroll & Kane and the season had been a resounding success. Good times were coming.


This couldn't have been further from the truth. We lost three key players in the summer, Revell and Whing to lower-league teams and McGleish effectively retired. Come pre-season time and the re-building had hardly commenced. We were ill prepared and a shambles at the start of the season. After 10 games we hadn't won a single match and the wheels had firmly fallen off. To give Slade his due though, the following 9 games O's were unbeaten and looking solid again.

Then it all went horribly wrong again, Omozusi got in trouble with the law, we cashed in on Daniels and Dawson during the January window to Bournemouth and Barnsley respectively and I haven't even mentioned the Goalkeeping and left-back problems we had. The season was effectively a write-off and as documented above we did well to finish 7 points safe in the end.


Fast-forward back to the present day and we haven't started this season too well either, serving up sometimes sublime and sometimes ridiculous football. Mixing up silky football and solid formations along with long-ball shite and some of the most odd-looking team selections you could dream off.

Things have calmed down a bit now, the team has settled, contracts have been signed, players released and Symes has eaten cake. This is good news, things are looking.. pretty average.

Since November we seem to have settled on a 442 formation with players playing in the right positions. There's also been an emphasis of late on attacking teams from the start rather than going behind and trying to claw a game back.

We've shown we can compete in this division. We've generally beaten the teams you would've expected us to beat as well as taking 4 points of Brentford and winning away vs Swindon. I think we can safely say that Doncaster are the only team that has us truly defeated.

How's this for an oddity. Of our games played so far we've only drawn two. Both against Crewe. We're rubbish at getting back into games (haven't won and only drawn twice from losing positions), yet we're amazing at holding onto a lead ( haven't lost and again only drawn twice from winning positions).

Where do we go from here? I'm afraid to tell you we're not going up either automatically or via the play-offs. We'd need to average two points per game from hereon in to reach sixth spot and that's not gonna happen. We'll not get relegated either. For the record I think you'll need 76/77 points to reach the play-offs and maybe only 45 points to avoid relegation.

We also have a double-headed regional final vs the Shrimps in the JPT and hopefully this'll give us a much needed day out at Wembley and our revenues a shot in the arm through prize-money and TV coverage.

Personally speaking I'll happily take a top-half finish (we'll need 66 points), which would mean we have to keep our form of the last 10/12 games up. Throw a JPT final appearance into it as well and i'd have said that the O's would have a had a fairly average (decent) season.